Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.774725e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000077 0.000088
2025-02-02 2.980753e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060 0.000073 0.000089 0.000107
2025-02-09 2.387325e-05 0.000033 0.000045 0.000059 0.000076 0.000097 0.000122
2025-02-16 2.106280e-05 0.000031 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083 0.000109 0.000141
2025-02-23 1.734666e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000060 0.000085 0.000115 0.000153
2025-03-02 1.413585e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000058 0.000085 0.000118 0.000163
2025-03-09 1.187410e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000057 0.000086 0.000124 0.000174
2025-03-16 9.950868e-06 0.000020 0.000034 0.000056 0.000087 0.000128 0.000184
2025-03-23 8.567811e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000056 0.000089 0.000134 0.000196
2025-03-30 7.451263e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000056 0.000092 0.000140 0.000208
2025-04-06 6.248849e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000055 0.000092 0.000143 0.000217
2025-04-13 4.920801e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000052 0.000090 0.000143 0.000220
2025-04-20 3.892132e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000090 0.000146 0.000229
2025-04-27 3.347916e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000051 0.000093 0.000154 0.000244
2025-05-04 2.737588e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000094 0.000159 0.000256
2025-05-11 2.541270e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000053 0.000100 0.000171 0.000278
2025-05-18 2.030447e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000101 0.000175 0.000288
2025-05-25 1.557530e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000050 0.000100 0.000176 0.000295
2025-06-01 1.238956e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000049 0.000101 0.000181 0.000306
2025-06-08 9.666197e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000048 0.000101 0.000184 0.000316
2025-06-15 7.825496e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000048 0.000102 0.000190 0.000329
2025-06-22 6.385247e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000104 0.000196 0.000342
2025-06-29 4.802052e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000047 0.000104 0.000198 0.000351